BOOTIE BEER? we use to dring that in rugby except DISGUSTING additives were placed with the beer. It makes my stomach turn just thinking about it. John Su
--- On Thu, 4/11/13, Riparian Life <pfbross@verizon.net> wrote:
From: Riparian Life <pfbross@verizon.net> Subject: cheat_training_group Cheat may be juicy this weekend To: upper_yough_training_group@googlegroups.com Date: Thursday, April 11, 2013, 8:20 AM
In past years there has been a contest to predict the level of the Cheat. Why care? Could save you a bootie beer or maybe a lost boat or major mis adventure. How do you do this? And can you apply the same principle predict power ball jack pot numbers?
I start with the Keelhauler calculator
http://www.keelhauler.org/khcc/cheatcalc.htm
Right now Albright Bridge is 15.7 - which translates to about 5.5 which is a bit juicy for my palate.
What will it be in the future? If the precip is fairly evenly distributed as it tends to be in the spring time. then you can estimate by looking upstream at Parson's flow which is about 7 which translates to 5' in 16 hours at the put in.
How about the weekend?
The NWS has a hydrologic prediction service to predict flooding and when they need to raise the flood gates in Georgetown.
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=pbz&gage=psnw2
Some rain is forecast - not a lot but the Cheat should be stable
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.51226804006511&lon=-79.6512222290039
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
Right now it looks as though the Cheat level will be about 5' which makes for a very interesting day on the river, lots of bootie beer is predicted and some might want to seek refuge upstream in the Cheat Narrows.
How do you win the power ball? Stay tuned!
-Peter
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