Friday, 6 May 2016

Re: cheat_training_group from from Rick Gusic re Cheat River Race

thanks Jonathan, for letting us know

J.Sass


On May 6, 2016, at 9:48 AM, jonathan becker <jonathanbecke@gmail.com> wrote:

Level is at 6.7 looking at the bridge

On May 5, 2016 10:20 PM, "C. Mark Eakin" <mark.eakin@mac.com> wrote:
My current guess is 4.6' and rising at race start. I'll check again tomorrow morning to see how the rain and actual Parsons gauge look compared to what NOAA currently estimates. Caveat is that AHPS often overpredicts peaks but is pretty good on short-term forecasts. This also only considers Parsons and not peripheral tributaries.

Work shown below:
NOAA AHPS forecast for Parsons:
Friday May 6, 06:00 UTC (2:00 am EDT): 6.3'
Results in Keehauler's calculation of 4.6' at Albright Bridge 16 hours later.

and

As for Saturday, AHPS currently predicts at peak of 6.8' tomorrow around 9:00 pm EDT. That means 5.1' at the Albright Bridge around 1:00 pm EDT Saturday.


Cheers,
Mark


On May 5, 2016, at 5:59 PM, Mike Sawyer <michaelsawyer@gmail.com> wrote:

4.5 on Fri race. My guess.  But it has to be watched.  Of it's that or less, I'll probably take the cat for a pre race run to Coliseum. SYOTR


On Thu, May 5, 2016, 5:39 PM John Munnell <munnell13@gmail.com> wrote:

Just don't think it's going that high... but we'll see.

JOHN


On 5/5/2016 5:31 PM, Jennifer Sass wrote:

Cheat River Race Update (URGENT NEWS)

Central WV is getting hit this afternoon and the Cheat headwaters are starting to move higher. How high? As of 4pm, it now looks like the race level will be above 4' tomorrow. It could very easily go much higher if the rain continues.

What does this mean for the race? The highest the race has ever seen is 5 1/4'. If levels go off higher, we 'might' have to make alternate race plans (ie, Narrows). So that said, we would like to urge all racers to please check the various Race Facebook pages & FOC Website for updates. PLEASE check things before running your shuttle on Friday. I can't stress this enough. Check. If you have questions, call/text me at 412-657-3944.

Please also take the above info into consideration with your own abilities. As the Cheat Canyon moves over 5', (6,300cfs), any swims or mishaps will have serious repercussions. While we are currently loading up on extra safety rafts and boats, you alone are the best judge of your skills. We can't protect you out there.

Last but not least. I would like to ask everyone to use the powers of the internet, texting, smoke signals or whatever else you have to get this message out to anyone and everyone. Please pass this along. We have backup plans for every possible scenario, but will require good communication and help from the racing community.

Sincerely,

Rick

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